Meticulous Research®, a leading global market intelligence and advisory firm, has released a new comprehensive report titled, "Automotive Transmission Market by Type (Manual Transmission, Automated Manual Transmission, and Semi-automated Manual Transmission), Engine Type (Petrol and Diesel), Vehicle Type, Sales Channel, and Geography - Global Forecast to 2031." According to the report, the global automotive transmission market is projected to reach $146.2 billion by 2031, growing at a CAGR of 5.4% during the forecast period from 2024 to 2031.
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The report identifies key factors driving market growth, including ongoing technological advancements in automotive transmission systems and the enforcement of stringent regulatory standards and emission norms. However, complexities associated with transmission systems and fluctuations in raw material prices may pose challenges to the market.
Emerging Opportunities in Lightweight Materials and AI Integration
With automakers increasingly focusing on lightweight, high-efficiency materials, coupled with the integration of AI and machine learning in automotive transmission systems, the market is expected to witness promising growth opportunities. Nevertheless, supply chain disruptions present a notable obstacle to the industry's development.
Market Segmentation and Insights
The automotive transmission market is categorized by type, engine type, vehicle type, and sales channel. Key findings from the report include:
• Transmission Type: The market is segmented into manual, automated manual, and semi-automated manual transmissions. In 2024, manual transmissions are anticipated to hold the largest market share of 48%, driven by superior fuel efficiency and lower maintenance costs. Despite this, the automated manual transmission segment is expected to grow at the fastest rate due to its balance between the convenience of automatic systems and the control of manual transmissions. Key product launches, such as ZF Friedrichshafen AG’s PowerLine 8-speed automatic transmission, are contributing to this growth.
• Engine Type: The petrol engine segment is projected to dominate, accounting for 56% of the market in 2024. The compatibility of petrol engines with various automated transmission types, including automatic and continuously variable transmissions (CVTs), plays a significant role in enhancing fuel efficiency and driving performance.
• Vehicle Type: The passenger car segment is forecast to account for 47% of the market share in 2024, owing to advancements in transmission technologies such as CVTs and dual-clutch transmissions (DCTs), which enhance vehicle efficiency and driving comfort. This segment is also expected to record the highest growth rate during the forecast period.
• Sales Channel: Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) are set to dominate with an 85% market share in 2024, driven by their ongoing expansion into emerging markets and strategic collaborations with transmission component suppliers and technology companies.
Asia-Pacific Poised to Lead the Global Market
Geographically, the Asia-Pacific region is expected to command the largest market share of 41% in 2024, fueled by rapid urbanization, economic growth, and rising vehicle ownership rates. The increasing adoption of automatic transmission systems in response to urban traffic congestion and demand for smoother driving experiences is a significant factor. Moreover, stringent regulations in the region are prompting automakers to adopt more efficient transmission systems, with key market players such as Aisin Corporation showcasing innovative electrification technologies at global automotive events.
Asia-Pacific is also projected to record the highest CAGR of 7.0% during the forecast period, driven by robust vehicle sales in countries such as China, India, Japan, and South Korea.
Key Market Players
Leading companies in the global automotive transmission market include ZF Friedrichshafen AG (Germany), Magna International Inc. (Canada), BorgWarner Inc. (U.S.), Continental AG (Germany), Eaton Corporation plc (U.S.), Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. (U.S.), Marelli Holdings Co., Ltd. (Japan), AISIN Group (Japan), Bonfiglioli S.P.A (China), Hyundai Transys Inc. (South Korea), Musashi Seimitsu Industry Co., Ltd. (Japan), Schaeffler AG (Germany), Vietesco Technologies Group AG (Germany), GKN plc (U.K.), and KATE LLC (Russia).
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