NFL Best Bets: Conference Championship Game Tips

Posted March 30, 2021 by topdailysportpick

The final four teams for the NFL are set to the road to the Super Bowl. They will go through Kansas City and Green Bay who are the number one seeds Kansas City and Green Bay on Conference Championship Weekend.
On Sunday at 3:05 pm EST, the Packers host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the NFC Championship. The next game which will decide the AFC crown, is the one between the Buffalo Bills and the Chiefs.

As you try to find NFL best bets, you need to ponder on the fact that since 2012, no team has advanced to the Super Bowl without a first round bye. This year, it looks like things will change because it seems like the Buccaneers and Bills are aiming to break that trend. However, many online sportsbooks, including Top Daily Sport Pick are vouching for both favorites.

What made these four teams win 34 straight games was majorly contributed with their strategy of placing their quarterbacks under center. This, according to Pro Football Focus, is one of the most effective offenses. As you plan to place your NFL best bets, you should know that this results in more scoring, which excites fans.

Pick 1 – Packers Over Buccaneers

While still on offense, Green Bay is a 3-point favorite over Tampa Bay at the top of the NFL graded unit, NFC Championship game. Place quickly your NFL best bets is you are planning to put your money on Packers because it’s only a matter of time before this game moves to -3.5, going by way the juice is shaded.

Quarterback Aaron Rodgers and his team took charge of the league making them one among three teams in NFL history to average at least a field goal per drive per season. They did this in points per game and that is what make the best team this NFL season. Green Bay in last week’s years shredded a stout LA Rams defense for 484 yards. This was their eighth game this season, and for the seventh time, this racked them over 30 points. Rodgers was responsible for 296 passing yards and 3 total touchdown. The run game on the other hand chipped in 188 yards and 5.2 yards per carry.

Back in week 6, these two teams faced off and the Parkers jumped out to a 10-0 early lead. However, that is all they managed to produce for the rest of the game. This to Rodgers, was the worst outing of the year. This made the Bucs a happy lot.

Out of the 17 passes, the quarterback completed only 6 versus the blitz. He threw 2 interceptions and absorbed three sacks. Again this coming Sunday, Tampa Bay is expected to turn up the heat.

However, as you think of your NFL best bets, know that since the sixth week outlier, Rodgers hasn’t been sacked versus the blitz. He was also under pressure as he scored the sixth highest passing grade as the year ended. This should account for something!

In the meantime, Tom Brady went on to defy father time, on the other side of the ball. In 9 straight outings, he had managed to throw 2 touchdown passes. In five straight games, including last week versus the New Orleans Saints, the Bucs have garnered 30 or more points. However, as you plan for your NFL best bets, don’t sleep on this Packers defense.

Fresh off holding the Rams, is Green Bay where in the total 244 yards, they managed to scoop 18 points. In this season, there’s only one team that has allowed fewer passing touchdowns. They rank eighth in yards per attempt allowed and rank fifth in opponent passer rating. As much as the run game is susceptible, we don’t expect Tampa Bay to move away from the game plan.

Pick 2 – Chiefs Clobber Bills

Another rematch from Week 6 is the AFC Championship, where the Chiefs are 3-point favorites over the Bills. The Buffalos had it rough with KC, who took the first matchup 26-17 with the run game. There were only 26 throws from Patrick Mahomes and the team rushed for a season-high 245 yards. We’ve all been puzzled by Mahomes. The reason being that even after he suffered a concussion last Sunday, he is still practicing and he is expected to play.

This is going to lay heavily on him because Super Bowl prospects are expecting him to play and salvage the day. In his last 25 starts, he had 24-1. This is quite impressive because there hasn’t been such a mark in many games since 1950. Although the Bills have strengthened their defense in the second half of the season, what spoils for them is the total yards allowed per game, where they rank last out of the remaining teams. KC will still be able to scoop some points, even though Mahomes is not playing in his 100%. But as you still think of your NFL best bets, you need to ask yourself – will the Bills be able to keep up?

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Last Updated March 30, 2021